100 Years of Land-Use and Land-Cover Data: What Has Been the Effect of Spatial Planning in Coastal Land-Use and Land-Cover Change?
نویسندگان
چکیده
The Sustainable Development Goals require us to rethink spatial planning policies’ effectiveness. This article proposes a reproducible method for assessing the effect of past practices and simulating future land-use land-cover (LULC) changes with Cellular Automata model. originality our approach is systematically compare observed in LULC rules force over almost century evolution. A quasi-exhaustive database was constructed at very fine resolution municipality Portimão (Southern Portugal), including location categories, corresponding time period on nine dates between 1947 2018. quantified measurement actual enables identify other determinants Findings reveal that policies established by local government—which aimed foster well-planned comprehensive urban areas—were not as effective intended. discrepancies recommendations evolution help simulate which scenarios could be designed reach expected result policies. Our assessment applied tourist regions where land artificialization exerts strong pressure environment.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2071-1050']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su15097636